TCU vs. Gonzaga Odds
The TCU Horned Frogs will be looking to pull off an upset when they take on the Gonzaga Bulldogs in this Western Regional game.
The Horned Frogs are coming off a stunning victory over the Sun Devils, where they trailed for the majority of the ball game.
Gonzaga will be looking to continue building momentum there after comfortably taking charge of business against the Grand Canyon.
If you like offense this is the game for you as these two teams will be flying the field all night long.
Will this be a good place to take over? Or was this number set too high by the market? Let’s find out by breaking down these two teams.
The Horned Frogs missed Eddie Lampkin Jr. on Friday as their offense looked pretty stagnant at times.
Luckily for them, Mike Miles Jr. and JaKobe Coles took over late in the game, especially Coles, who hit the game winner with seconds left.
However, they will be up against a Gonzaga attack capable of knocking any team out of the gym, so to say their attack has to click is an understatement.
I think they will have some success here, and their weak shooting ability behind the arc could be strengthened there.
The reason I say that is Gonzaga isn’t particularly good at defending the 3. The Horned Frogs are one of the worst 3-point shooting teams in the country, but they have a great opportunity to have a better success in this game.
TCU also does a terrific job of protecting the basketball on offense, and it also hits the free throw line early and often.
That could be huge in this game, considering Gonzaga is 311th in bench minutes. Horned Frogs should have plenty of opportunities to rack up points here.
As I’ve discussed before, this Bulldogs offense is a power plant. It’s the #1 offense in adjusted efficiency, according to KenPom, and they’re in the top 10 in the majority of offensive categories.
As explosive as Gonzaga is on offense, he has a tough job against that stingy TCU defense. The Horned Frogs do a fantastic job of guarding behind the arc, as they are in the top 30 opposing 3PT%.
The good news for the Zags is that they are the No. 1 team in 2PT% shooting, which is an area where the TCU defense isn’t too elite. They also do a fantastic job of protecting the basketball, and they rarely get every shot blocked.
I expect the Zags offense to do the heavy lifting here, given that their defense might not have many saves in this game.
I think we’re in an electric back-and-forth business.
TCU vs. Gonzaga betting picks
If the breakdown wasn’t clear enough, I think this is a great place to get the upper hand.
Both teams are going to be able to find some success, and I especially think the Zags are going to eat inside all night. If TCU had Lampkin for this game, I might have approached this handicap a little differently.
If I had to take sides, I’d tip TCU with the points since I illustrated how successful both offenses should be. But I much prefer to take the safer approach.
It’s a little scary to get the upper hand with such a high total, but there’s no way I’m seeing this match turn into a crusher. KenPom also makes that total of 158, so it’s an added bonus that he currently sits at 156.5. I could also see the total dip a bit with public money already flowing into the basement.
Take control with confidence and watch these two offensive units cook up early.
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